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CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 6:00am EST
fiscal cliff is playing into his outlook. >>> welcome back to "squawk box" this morning. take a look at futures for the day, the s&p is up a little over 7 points as we await to see what happens with the fiscal cliff. >> it is the last trading day of the year. how will the global marketses react to our domestic drama? calling in right now on the squawk news line is jim o'neill. it's great to be speaking with you this morning. i know we made it through the mayan apocalypse, but will we make it three through the fiscal cliff, as well? >> gosh, i don't know. i keep exchanging my mind about this every day in the past week. what is quite encouraging in a way is that other markets around the world, other important mark particular are trading so much of their own issues that the disappointment in the u.s. has not affected them at all. and while europe has given a bit back, it's barely noticeable. the markets, at least for now, are treeding this as pretty much a domestic affair or as is the case throughout the u.s., an assumption that something will happen later today that will allow it to -- bu
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 9:00am EST
fiscal cliff set to take place 15 hours from now. i'm carl, with melissa lee. cramer and faber are off today. good morning to you, dan. >> good morning. >> the house gaveling into session just a few moments ago. business there is going to start at 10:00 a.m. eastern time. futures are showing some resilience as becky said, despite no deal yet in congress. but remember, the sell-off on friday and friday night was pretty severe. the dow is set to open below 13,000. markets in europe mixed after a shortened session in the uk, france and spain. our road map starts right where we were months ago, waiting for the 112th congress to agree on a debt reduction package. the senate convenes at 11:00 a.m. >> the dow had its worst day in a month on friday. set to close december with a loss. the question is, does it continue to sell off if there isn't an accord in congress. >> we will always have china. manufacturing pmi data from last night is the best in 21 months. can we finally say the chinese economy has been stabilized. >> but of course, we start in washington. as you know, congress comes back today. the house gavelin
CNBC
Dec 26, 2012 5:00am EST
. how you doing? >> good morning. all is well. >> you know, santa did not bring a fiscal cliff deal for christmas this year. i want to know how do you think the uncertainties around the fiscal cliff will impact the trading day and the rest of the week? >> i think basically any negative news out of washington is going to put a downward bias on the market. lack of progress, downward bias. ultimately the government will get its act together. the longer it tarkkes, it has slowed the rally of the last month. we are fearful if they take too long into january to get this resolved, it will slow the government going into the first quarter. if the government gets its act together, we think the economy is poised to do better next year. we think the stock market is poised to have another good year. >> we're looking at a potential increase in the dividend tax rate. so how would you trade some of these high-dividend stocks including some of those stocks in the health care sector, utilities, what are your thoughts? >> we think ultimately the tax on dividends is going to go from 15% to 20%, plus th
CNBC
Dec 26, 2012 9:00am EST
. >> thank you so much. merry christmas. >> same to you. on to the fiscal cliff this morning. the president cutting his vacation short in hawaii. the president plans to leave for washington tonight. congress expected to return on thursday. president, guys, not expected to actually arrive in washington until tomorrow morning. no talks scheduled that we know of as of yet. all the attention's going to turn to the senate, which tends to be more of a compromising body than the house is. >> yes. and the president is available in person if you should want to go over there and visit with him. or perhaps if he wants to visit with anybody else. the consensus seems to be if you get some sort of a deal, it's obviously not going to be the big deal. it will simply be something that extends the tax cuts for the vast majority of americans, at least those earning less than $250,000 a year. the consensus seems to be, carl, that if we don't get a deal by the second or third or fourth week, the super bowl week, we'll start to feel it in the economy. >> we had a notable sell-off. there is typically a
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 9:00am EST
, which could lead the industry at a standstill. in addition to the fiscal cliff, milk cliff, and wind farm cliff, what other cliff are you worried about these days? tweet us. we have a new handle @squawkstreet and junior responses throughout the morning. >> some people on twitter have criticized how we just called it the container cliff. saying not everything is a cliff. >> but everything is a cliff. there is a deadline. >> containers will come in tor they won't. it's binary. >> we were chatting during the break, we're not allowed to own stocks, individual names, but if there was a name you wish you'd bought in the face of bad news last year? >> jpmorgan. it seemed that everyone wanted to sell off the stock, and this would be a huge impact on jpm. it had some perception impact, but when it came to the performance of the bank, it really did not. the stock sold off to about $32 a share, it's around $43 right now. that one, when you think about the trades i should have made, if i could have, that would have been one of them. that one seemed clear and easy. >> some of the contrarian price actions that we saw this year, rimm, late in the year. walmart after "the times" investigation. i'm trying to think of some others. there were some doozies. >>
CNBC
Dec 24, 2012 5:00am EST
. >>> good morning again, everyone. the fiscal cliff headline looms, but a solution seems to be far off. >> mario monti is saying that he's willing to lead italy, but only if a party backs his economic agenda for the country. >>> sylvia berlusconi tells cnbc he needs to return to the premiership to keep the lead from being turned over to the hands of the left. >> let's talk more about this. mario monti is saying he's willing to stand in italy's upcoming election but only if asked by a reform party that supports his agenda. monti made it clear that he was rejecting an offer from his predecessor to run on the central right election ticket. >> translator: forces who demonstrate convincing and credible adherence to my agenda, i'll be ready to give my appreciation and my encouragement and if requested my leadership. if the circumstances require, i'd also be ready to take up one day the responsibilities that are given to me by parliament the. >> now, monti will officially re-sign from his post on friday. he stressed that italy's next government must avoid backtracking on reforms. elections ar
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 6:00am EST
fiscal cliff or that stuff in japan. i don't know. very close. it's one or the other. let's check out asia. asia is actually up this morning. and then let's check out the oil board. oil is still strong, which makes me -- i don't know which market you look at to decide on whether we get something settled or not, but i think oil is pretty telling that it hasn't cracked at all. the ten-year has been under 1.8 recently. it's -- >> hold on. you think oil traders are smarter than bond traders and -- >> well, bond trade ers have be for years massed by fedex and central bank action. the stock market, these guys main line bernanke's stimulus and they -- you know -- >> the oil guys are -- >> no, i don't think they're the straightest. i just think that you would really -- if you thought the u.s. was going to go into a recession imminently, i don't think oil would save us. do you? >> no. >> let's check out the dollar. maybe the dollar -- that's a big -- you know, foreign currencies, you can learn a lot from. 1.31 and back 86 now on the yen. and then, gold, this might tell you something eventually, too. there's so many different things that
CNBC
Dec 26, 2012 6:00am EST
both parties what it takes to avoid the fiscal cliff. >> the report of retailers. >> i love the smell of congress in the morning. >>> retailers try to close out on a strong note. the third hour of "squawk box" begins right now. >>> welcome back. i'm joe concern non along with andrew ross sorkin. becky quick is out today and our guest host is dan greenhouse with the beroni tie and cnbc contributor. just a slip. more frin a minute. first andrew has your good morning headlines. >>> no surprise, the fiscal cliff, both aides or parties saying a partial patch is the most to be expected before january 1st. the session of the senate set for tomorrow. the house, nothing on its schedule for the week but have been told they could be called back with 48 hours notice. meantime, the white house they already got the notice. they say the president is flying back from vacation from hawaii today. let's take a quick look at u.s. equity features. dow jones looks like it will open up 20 points higher, and s&p 500 over three points. and dow jones, almost 23 points. the new pro business government preparing to assume leadership, the new prime minis
CNBC
Dec 24, 2012 9:00am EST
apps. still no sign of a deal on the fiscal cliff. how should investors position themselves? hank smith is chief investment officer and joins us this morning from philadelphia. good morning to you. >> good morning carl. >> tough weekend if you were counting on a deal coming in under the radar despite all the back and forth in the public press. are we all set now to do a big rethink on whether this is going to happen? >> well, i think it's amazing how well the market has held up. a month ago if you had said we'd come down this point you would have thought the market would be a thousand points lower. i think what's going to happen now is we are going to go over the cliff very shortly and then we'll probably be offered the biggest tax decrease after we had the biggest tax increase and then 30 days later we'll be talking about the debt ceiling and that's where the spending aspect of this comes in. >> yeah. so where is -- if you were going to try to time it and load up on some equity at the low point near term where do you think that would be? >> well, carl, i think it's a very tricky avenue to try and time so we would say if you're invested, stay i
CNBC
Dec 24, 2012 6:00am EST
happily off at this point. in studios with his,000s on the market and the fiscal cliff this morning, jason trennert. >> that tie. >> he's got the red tie. >> santa tie. >> take a look at the futures, see how this half day of trading is setting up. looks like the dow will open down about 18 points, s&p 500 will be off about three points and the nasdaq off close to 10 points. let's get you through some of the quick morning headlines. it is an abbreviated trading day for u.s. stocks ahead of the christmas 408 day. trading ends at 1:00 p.m. eastern time. japanese stocks did not trade today and the german and italian markets were among those in europe taking the day off. the uk was open. mexico's grupo bimbo -- >> it's right. >> grupo bimbo reportedly considering a bid for the hostess snack take. grupo bimbo -- >> that gets you, doesn't it? you're like in fourth grade. >> because it's -- i can't even -- >> because it says bimbo? >> i can't -- >> it's mexican, andrew. >> i know. >> you can't even get through the story because it says bimbo? >> it's been a tough morning. >> i'm going to make it t
CNBC
Dec 27, 2012 6:00am EST
fiscal cliff deal. meantime, treasury warns the government will hit its legal borrowing limit by monday. it's thursday, december 27th, 2012 and "squawk box" begins right now. >>> good morning and welcome to "squawk box" here on cnbc. i'm andrew ross sorkin along with joe kernen. becky continues to have the day off today. our guest host today is bob broska. house speaker john boehner urging the senate to come up with a passable fiscal cliff solution. he's promising to at least consider any bill that the upper chamber produces. senate majority leader harry reid now expected to base any legislation on a bill passed earlier this year to continue tax breaks for households will incomes below $250,000. a senate bill would likely contain an extension of expiring unemployment benefits. and the other big news of the morning, treasury secretary tim geithner unveiling a plan to buy time under the debt ceiling. in a letter to congress, geithner saying that treasury is going to begin taking steps this week to delay hitting the government's 16$16.4 trillion borrowing limit. treasury will take several measures to save that next year to keep the government from reaching the limit for about two
CNBC
Dec 27, 2012 12:00pm EST
the fiscal cliff. now to jackie and future now. >> that's right. you can see it on the chart. gold was lower this morning until majority leader harry reid took to the senate floor and says it looks likely we will go off the fiscal cliff. if we do go off, is buying gold your best bet? even with the cliff looming, gold has done badly over the past month. does that surprise you? >> it does. when you look at money printing going on in japan and the fiscal cliff here and debt ceiling limit and relatively weak dollar, gold should have a lot more shine to it. >> not like the possibility of going over the cliff is something new. if gold is getting a bit on cliff fears, why has it sold off in the last month? what's taken so long? >> funny you mention that, they read the headline, harry reid says, looks like we're going over the cliff, i don't think anybody thinks about that. but everybody hits the sell button because they think everybody's going to. there's plenty of reason to buy gold but whatever gold is dealing with on the negative side it is not done dealing with. i don't think it's a good time. we're going over th
CNBC
Dec 27, 2012 9:00am EST
this morning. the "new york post," off the fiscal cliff. this fall is really going to hurt. ben white of morning money, dennis, said an excuse to get a bic can keeney on the cover. >> relatively slow news day. what geithner did yesterday is almost as if he is strapping a damsel in distress to the tracks and saying the stakes are rising higher. the markets are taking all this tension, all this sort of -- these things at stake to really make the point perhaps that you have to have those stakes really high for people actually to get a deal. >> on "fast" last night when that letter crossed in the green rooms, we were chatting, we said this sounds like a ploy on the part of the treasury to actually get people to start moving. obviously, there wasn't a market selloff, did have the stumbling blocks and traders on friday said almost better if we did see the markets pull back more to crystallize what this could mean for the u.s. economy to members of congress. we didn't see that. it is a numbers game though in terms of what will happen. we know need 60 votes to clear a fill buster in the senate. seven republic
CNBC
Dec 27, 2012 4:00am EST
. but increasingly, it looks like we're heading towards going over the fiscal cliff, which isn't the end of the universe. but i was reading a piece this morning saying they can vote not to raise taxes, but lower them less. >> but they can still say to their constituents, i did not raise taxes. >> but i wonder what other impact there will be if they go over the cliff, so to speak? >> well, right now, we don't know what affect this is going to have on the market, there is a ceiling issue. >> the u.s. is kind of almost rules driven. we create these rules and create problems for ourselves and have to try to get around them. why, is there anything to like about this system which we're rightly limiting at the moment? >> i suppose you could argue that it's politically sensitive. it's sensitive to the election. rather than one consistent policy being followed, it reacts much better. there's a reason why obama is leading this thing right now. he won the election. he now has the right, morally and politically to force his version of a deal upon people. we also have to consider the dynamics of congress. you know, boehner is going to be coming up to a speaker e
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 12:00pm EST
relative flatline. of course, as the fiscal cliff talks continue, the spoke points out that we have never had six losing days to end the year. we'll see if that happens today. currently, the dow is on track for a loss by about six points and the s&p is up 3 1/3. we'll continue to follow the fiscal cliff negotiations throughout the day here on cnbc including at 6:00 p.m. tonight where we have a special report hosted by brian sullivan and kelly evans. happy new year. we look forward to seeing you back here in 2013 as we hit noon on the east coast. let's get the "fast money halftime" back at hq. >>> all right, carl, thank you so much. welcome to the halftime show. four hours to go until the close and here's where we stand on this final trading day of the year. it is a mixed market picture. pretty tight reigns thus far for stocks. here's what we are following on halftime. gross profits. the man in charge of pimico's freerly $2 trillion in assets is here live with the best place to make money in 2013. >>> coffee talk. green mountain is up 95% over the past six months. now two of the traders de
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 3:00pm EST
trigger for the fiscal cliff and we wake up tomorrow on january 1st. if there's no new law, taxes will be higher tomorrow morning than they are tonight. >> what do you think was the straw that broke the camel's back leading to this position there will be no vote in the house tonight? was it perhaps the president's remarks this afternoon? did that slow the process down? >> some republicans complained about that, but i wouldn't say -- i don't think the camel's back has been broken. what i think is that as aat
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 2:00pm EST
is coming. >> sounds like a late night and early morning. he was literally working the phones. >>> this is an important part of the story here. remember this, if you haven't been following the fiscal cliff, take note. even if a deal gets done, taxes go up for many high income and likely big spending families. there is an economic impact either way. it is just perhaps the veseveri under question. >> when we talk about is the marginal propensity to consume. what does that mean? for every dollar that you either have or don't have, how much of that will you spend or not spend? the thinking is as we raise taxes on wealthier people, that margin propensity goes down. in other words, they don't spend every dollar they have, they save a bit of it, because they have more of it. the economic point of view is to get rid the tax hikes on middle class. it goes down the the higher up you go it goes down further. you are right to say that in general, economists in 2013, brian, are looking for fiscal contraction. the federal government will be a drag on growth. no matter what happens, taxes go
CNBC
Dec 26, 2012 1:00pm EST
, whether it be the fiscal cliff, the election, the situation in europe. nonetheless, gold has just not been the safe haven. this morning, it was industrial metals that got a boost as we saw rallies in asia on hopes that maybe this new regime in china is going to be spending more helping to prop up the property department there, housing, than might mean more demand for industrial metals. copper today, the standout in part because of that. also, a different note, the s.e.c. ahead of the holiday delayed a decision on the proposed etf, according to the "wall street journal," the etf would hold twice as much copper in terms of holdings compared to the jpmorgan holding approved on december 14th. >> i think 182,000 physical tons they could take off the market. we'll revisit it later. for a moment, thank you. bob pisani is joining me on the floor of the nyse. the big discussion is about retail and what the figures from mastercard tell us. >> i just want to point out that the dow industrials dropped in the middle of the day. there had been some concern the house leadership which is all coming back now did not send out a 48-hour not
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 2:00pm EST
fiscal cliff. you can see the nasdaq down about 9 points or so. to get stock specific, facebook in the news. it was the worst performing stock on the nasdaq 100 this morning but rebounding over the last hour. a facebook spokesperson speaking out in response to a report that said instagram was seeing a decline in users. facebook writing that this data is inaccurate. we continue to see strong and steady growth in both registered and active users of instagram. interestingly enough, if you take a look at some of the best performing stocks on the nasdaq 100, facebook made that list but still down from its ipo that it made back in may. that's putting it into perspective. stockstill down 30% from its ipo. >> pick it up from there. seema, thank you very much. >>> in the meantime, it is what everybody is talking about, the fiscal cliff deadline. in just one hour leaders from both sides of the aisle are scheduled for a sitdown and pow wow with president obama. our eamon javers is there. can we expect the best? >> everybody is certainly talking about it but there are not a whole lot of people who know what will happen here. the sliver of hope is the consensus expectatio
CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 4:00am EST
avoid the fiscal cliff. but crude is poised to post its smallest gain in three years. wti is set to post its first annual last in four years. ian, welcome. we've seen this sharp decline in oil prices helping seek through to prices with a lot of americans in the last several weeks. when we look to 2013, should we expect a similar seasonal pattern which is to say a rally during the first part of the year? >> no. i'm not expecting a rally in the fist part of the year, to be honest. what we're still trying to take is the impact of shale oil, shale gas. and i think probably in 2012, the impact was -- or rather the implications of the impact were a much higher than expected. this year it's going to be interesting to see how the rest of the global acts with the new higher expectations for u.s. oil and gas. >> but does that really feed through? because we've heard the big longer picture argument, clearly a game changer, huge implications. how much of that feeds into oil prices right away? >> well, i think in terms of what's happening the first half of the year for the u.s., it's the fiscal
CNBC
Dec 31, 2012 4:00am EST
and these are your headlines. with the hours ticking down towards the fiscal cliff deadline, china's manufacturing activity hits its fastest pay in a year and a half. and as we head towards the end of the year, global markets hook up some decent returns. outperformers this year include german, japanese and hong kong shares. >>> if you're just tuning in, thanks for joining us this morning. we'll give you a look at how mblths are faring ahead of the open. the do i jouns is poised to shed about 70 points for the open, 10 for the s&p 500 and 13 for the nasdaq. these figures are off the lows that we saw friday evening and even over the weekend as the first sense of fiscal cliff failure negotiations are becoming a reality. germany is closed today. the cac 40 outperforming in paris. the ftse and ibex are outperforming. the manufacturing figures from china helped to turn things around. indeed, the shanghai composite up 1.6%. hang seng in hong kong a little lower on the morning. shanghai composite in the positive by 1.6%. new evidence has emerged that chinese companies are actively helping ir
CNBC
Dec 26, 2012 2:00pm EST
, only one person said he was not concerned about the fiscal cliff. he thought it was a bunch of hype. this was really interesting, brian. i only talked to about a dozen people so it's not scientific, but not one of them, i had all age groups, not one was here using a gift card or had gotten a gift card. now, again, maybe the early shoppers aren't doing gift cards but i found that interesting. >> let's do our own unscientific study right now. between mandy and yourself, very quickly, i haven't bought gift cards in about two years because i found they're sort of boring gifts. you feel like you haven't put any thought into it. i moved away from them. >> it's a lazy gift. it is totally a lazy gift. >> reporter: no. you guys, you guys don't know. my kids are 20 and 22. that's all they want. don't buy me clothes, mom. i just want money. just give me the gift card. it's a generational thing. >> so give them cash. >> yeah. even better. >> reporter: i can give them cash but it's a little safer, maybe, to carry a card around, maybe. maybe not. >> i don't know. i still like actually getting som
CNBC
Dec 27, 2012 3:00pm EST
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CNBC
Dec 28, 2012 4:00pm EST
. >> president obama, congressional leaders meeting at the white house to avoid the fiscal cliff. we'll bring you the latest developments on that any minute now. >> also, we'll check up on health care, one of the year's best performing sectors. we'll find out if it's going to run out of steam in the new year and name some names for you coming up. >> and later on, big sky, big jump in estate taxes if congress fails to reach a deal on the cliff. we'll talk to a montana rancher who is pretty upset. coming up, montana's governor brian schweitzer is going to weigh in. >> looks like the meeting may have broken up. there goes nancy pelosi, and we are told now house speaker boehner may have already left, and, no, they are not talking to reporters. nancy is looking for her car to leave the white house, and we're not getting anybody talking to the reporters at this point, so maybe we'll get some -- and i'm told now the futures market in the after-hours pegs is extending the losses that we've been seeing in the last hour of trade. maybe we'll get eamon javers to get in front of the camera when we
Search Results 0 to 23 of about 24